November 7, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moondance Joy | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magari | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evan’s Nice Now | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnitesalright | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parlapiano | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Mikayah | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trans Mississippi | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Savvy Cairo | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funderella | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remembering Bobbie | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sander’s Empire | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flying Pleasantly | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Know Point Given | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Breeze | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Inscom | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Variant Perception | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Appealing Briefs | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coral Legacy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Playing Hooky | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conforto | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Purchasing Power | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Croque Monsieur (GB) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Speed Gracer | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ego | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Snake Oil Charlie | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | First Deputy | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapizearance | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | True Grace | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diannesimpazible | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cold Hard Cash | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Somethingtotellyou | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Wicked | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Queen Kahen | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smoken Deb | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tiple (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gracetown | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Overheated | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Trixie’s Time | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Puparee | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bean Counter | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sea Sparkle | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Nan’s Plan | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carlisle Belle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tass | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Quiet Dignity | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Team Win | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fancy That | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Betty F (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Beale Street | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kingdom’s Queen | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Monhegan | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Whatdoesasharksay | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Broken English | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Alydarius | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cash Offer | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New Girl in Town | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Field | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Riot Worthy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunshine Gal | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spring Drama | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Archumybaby | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wadadli Princess | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zip Drive (FR) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kept True | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Saratoga Treasure | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Science Fiction | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | O’Malley | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Tide Storm | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jennemily | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Dance Till Dawn | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Slimey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fionnbharr | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | China Silk | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Brass Ring | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Babe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | King’s Honor (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hostile Witness | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Flank Speed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Upham | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rapstorerocks | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Danza | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Myamanoi | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Geta Lode of Lucky | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Tempesta | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tempus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tipazo | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Textpectation | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Le Coste | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hihosey | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alley Oop Johnny | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Lightning Rob | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.