November 6, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Mangelsen | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Atlantic Ruler | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Last Nite Out | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mucho Marvin | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | J C’s in Town | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Solid Red | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Little Risky | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Star Anne | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Halostar | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Senator Con | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fats | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yes My Son | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Emma’s Logic | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suddenly | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tensas Ten | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prizeless | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Social Cat | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Oliver’s Prayer | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ronda’s Custom | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boots and Saddle | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Jojogottago | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Swinging Galaxy | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ambassador House | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mauk Power | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Interactif Moment | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savannah Dandy | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweet Chatain | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brush Whacker | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Armstrong Bill | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Braizen Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Richards Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kubo Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Bravo | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Pepper Prince | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sonoma Crush | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Illuminatingappeal | 1.60 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Exchange Gold | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heisayankee | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fiddlers Farewell | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Bolitar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Lass Song | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Sharp Machete | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I’m Looking Up | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Bayou | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr True | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ouachita | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steel Drums | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ronnie’s Reasoning | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Warrior | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kensley’s Hippie | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Princess | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mintappearence | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Selene’s Argument | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Paleeze | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Story | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bubbas Lucky Spell | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Mallory’s On | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Custom for Corales | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Departed | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Easter Girl | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jewels of Sorce | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | It’sakatfight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | D’dawson | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | E Rated | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whistling Wind | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aw Shucks | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Greeley | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Booth Road Shine | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Dad Louie | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Man | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Handful of Stripes | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lunar Light | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Want a Picture | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Philly | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Geauxcro | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outofthisgalaxy | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Wise Cat | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red White and Loud | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seanshine | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lauriano | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Vincenator | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Donna’s Court | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Priority’s Lil Boy | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Etney John | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Rain | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Goodman | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing a Saint | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Skylar’s Way | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rattlesnake Show | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Always Grace | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Siberianproduction | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Osceola Rose | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Knot | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keen’s Shot | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gallop’s Star | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fickle Flash | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roll On Baby | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aurora Pine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.