November 2, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Changing Lanes | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mom Said Yes | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tapalist | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Calculate | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flash It | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kurts Raider | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dream Twister | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Favorite Son | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Saving Argument | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drewpower | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Shes Our Fastest | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tensas Thought | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Play Unified | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’ll Take It All | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shaharazad | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Desert Wine | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Suzie’s Dream | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elegant Orchid | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red River Chase | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Catbalee | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Remembrance Rose | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paddy O’Belle | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Salt Life Angel | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Temper Mint | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’cat Blues | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madelyn’s Time | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cuteness Apriority | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Siberianproduction | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fickle Flash | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cool Sis | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ide B a Soldier | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Misty Ice | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stars Included | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Agirlnamedsyd | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tina’s Pal | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adieu Mallory | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strikingly Smart | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bulletsandbourbon | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diablo Gris | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Slew City Susie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Velvet Vision | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Holy Sunrise | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Vision | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Landonese | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Makers Star | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Talkothtown | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seeyainthetestbarn | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vivinsky | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Formeredith | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cat’s Shining Star | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brandi Bo Dandy | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Icy Willie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mia O Maya | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mitch’s Pins | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flash Hands | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Da Due Run Run | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shesthecatsmeow | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Trip | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Madelyns On | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katiebmeister | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Song for Heddings | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Little Gardner | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Runner | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two More Barbo | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paddle Wheel | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Galaxy | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conspicuous Line | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Rox | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Nola Fashion | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Forest Girl | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hunky Dory | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charzee Baby | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Quality Street | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 5 | My Ruston | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Selma T | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starry Ide Elaine | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Byanymeans | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Red Fern Doll | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gavins Little Sis | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glorieta | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Rae Rae | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kelley’s Dream | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stumberg | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Right On By | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Out Late | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Untuttable Speed | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sudden Afleet | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bliss La Vie | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Selenas Jewel | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Little T | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Something for Mama | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peach’s Swan Song | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Half Moon Maiden | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Villana | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pepper Blossom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gallop’s Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smart N Holy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.