November 1, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Gone Home | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Created Special | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eje Gama | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Top Hat Treason | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twobitsaride | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Macho Danny | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Walk Away Joe | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spooky Island | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Wicked Son | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sergeant Azer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lets Play Hardball | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Gallanor | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Red Hot Dame | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trimmed in Grey | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Two Three Go | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sybil’s Prophecy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Hopes | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nightmare | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Glory | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turko Treat | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Prosperity | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Little Laughs | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vampish | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bettyann | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mice and Men | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cape Lookout | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brooks Robinson | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baron of Bluegrass | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormin Hongkong | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome D J | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Revolutionary Road | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time Flies By | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talent Quest | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady by Choice | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Discreet Deceit | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ten Count Out | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conjecture | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Quiet | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Shot | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foggy Dreams | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Limited View | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tappin Cat | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big City Blues | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Prayer | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Torch of Truth | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crush It | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Destruction | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Smurthwaite | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mission Oberon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Quick Man | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Arrifana | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Tree | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tweeting | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trace of Grace | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trolley Ride | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vente to Go | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Outofthepark | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Absolved | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | By the Sey Shore | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pretty Good Year | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trifor Gold | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sparty | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Redeemed Gentleman | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Earned It | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Broad Expanse | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gas Money | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Somekindofmagician | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cannon’s Roar | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Closer Look | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bowsprit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Seville Barber | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Broker’s Reward | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Princess Adira | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tenderness | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Charmer | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cruise and Danze | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dontletsweetfoolya | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Central Exit | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Over the Hillary | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kate Carmack | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Along the Way | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancer’s Melody | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Remain Anonymous | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ilchester Cheetah | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady George | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leaveuwithasmile | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Always Something | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paisley Singing | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aspen Rose | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jumping Michelle | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Olive Kat | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Too Much Minutia | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mae Sai Princess | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Odd Gal | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Star | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can the Queen | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Day Zip | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Whiskey and You | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Deshackled | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Nextstop Pokipc | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palvera | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pitching Ari | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Palace Kid | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Back Charge | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bernie’s On Fire | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mattymeister | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heart Hero | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sojourner | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chauffeur | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jestful | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Carey Times | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.