November 1, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Bonnie | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eight Oaks | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheatham Hill | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin Princess | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ma Meatloaf | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caralicious | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chillinwithfriends | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boston Beauties (IRE) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Kit Kat Katie | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jen’s Battle | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Stunning Munnings | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Crack of Dawn | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Annoula | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 11 | Winning Melody | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pippi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Our Lady of Loreto | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Big Red Girl | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Felony Melanie | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | My Candy Girl | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Empress Luciana | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pazyarmonia | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Liana | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Roma Carpe | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Fire | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heaven’s Humor | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Forever | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promise Me Roses | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tequila Sunday | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whyisshesoolucky | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 6 | Later Cat | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Causforcelebration | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 8 | Champagne Chills | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Awesome Adversary | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Paynter’s Prize | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jimmy Jazz | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Yankee Division | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lorcan | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Barrel of Stout | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 7 | Wisecrack | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sidd Finch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Implied Volatility | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Brown Eyed Boy | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Icey Cash | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 4 | Hurricane Andrew | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snow Lion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Newport Breeze | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Makin’ Out | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Puffery | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cartwheel | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Maiden Beauty | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beyond Discreet | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mrs. Orb | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Summer Sangria | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 6 | Aubrey Tate | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Canarsie Angel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dream Chasing | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bean Indiscreet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Saratoga Love | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Fractorzation | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silky Blue | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Adorable Maya | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Desbordes | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Chouchou de Boo | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Holmdel Park | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tornado Crossing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16A | 7 | Queentigua | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ladycliff | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Luzmaria | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forever Changed | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Smooth With a Kick | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Bronx Tail | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Figure It Out | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Canteen | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kodiak Katie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hollywood Glory | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Myhartblongstodady | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 1 | Awesome Alana | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kerry’s Ring | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pioneerof New York | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 5 | Tempers Way | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Love and Love | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Paved With Gold | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barrel of Destiny | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ideational | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Puparee | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sterling Beauty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Big Expense | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Jen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tempted S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ankle Monitor | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Kisses | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vast | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Power Move | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maedean | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cee’s Overture | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Doll | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J J Jen | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queenofeverything | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pendolino | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clever Tale | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Music | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fight On Lucy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Anydayisherday | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Banker | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Am Impazible | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.