October 31, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Impossible Task | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dean Martini | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smooth Like Strait | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Phast Pharoah | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heywoods Beach | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drasario (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Witch’s Vow | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nineeleventurbo | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Too Late | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gingham | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Antigone | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m the Hero | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saralin | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lizzario | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Well Done Sally | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Govenor Cinch | 1.20 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Successful Command | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Blue | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carnelian Hero | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Include the Tax | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baltimore Beecho | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Tony | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Absolute Weapon | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vastly Deep | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Old Trafford | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Destiny’s Journey | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Delp | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Billy K | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Saburai | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tig Tog (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | South Boot Shirley | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pacifica (FR) | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quinnie | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gone to Bali | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Candy Swirls | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Turn | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vannavanna Bo Bana | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kuda Huraa | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | K P Cats Wild | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Teachers Big Dream | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Totally Normal | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calese | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Circleofcolor | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amatara | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saving Sophie | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paige Runner | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Macho Woman | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cover Version | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catch the Eye | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Karmically | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Full Eclipse | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Declarationofpeace | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lil Milo | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Restrainedvengence | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | River Boyne (IRE) | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ritzy A. P. | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Andesh (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ronald R (IRE) | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Double Touch (GB) | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brown Storm (CHI) | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tule Fog | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Busy Paynter | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tribal Dance | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blew by You | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heart of the Nile | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coilette | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Maneuver | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | At the Margin | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warm It Up | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hola Mazuma | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Promnesia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.