October 30, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Freeze Line | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr. Big City | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hard Story | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dickinson’s Image | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kris Me Deadly | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scissor Bill | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gotta A. P. B. | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whatever It Takes | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Trophy Daddy | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Society | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Attempted Sin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Party Tarde | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Timeformetofly | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eight Grand | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Peggys Ouest | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beadsinthetrees | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Harlans Warrior | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Our Diamond | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gentlemen’s Girl | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild for Cathrine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Crescent Lace | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Becky’s Dude | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rockin’rouxs Best | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Somekindawicked | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two With a Ten | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | St Teresa | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Loveuthreethousand | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Twn Tawfeers Party | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Madam Speaker | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devastating Beauty | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kenai Special | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Festive Heir | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Party Twist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Southern Galaxy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Boston Repo | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Whatelse Igot Todo | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Catalogue | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Risky Steps | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Over Priced | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Royal Reality | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smooth Colliery | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sunnyonastormyday | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bettercalljohn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shrew Grit | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All the Juice | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reachreachreach | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Boss Lady Melissa | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zionica | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brahms’ Regal Gal | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Riskytawfeerstango | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Emery’s Dream | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Patriot | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Redding Well | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mimi’s Song | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Southern Dudette | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cheers to Berti | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spring Value | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warned | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Theboyzdelight | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Resilience of Love | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Beat | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gentleman’s Prize | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outback Jack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Mug Shot Man | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delaware Basin | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guitarzan | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Take Charge Chase | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Two Steppin’ Star | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bayou Bode | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Noisey Boy | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dry Wood Creek | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Meditate | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sea Bee Salute | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jack the Umpire | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reach the Circle | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Troubador | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Defender | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rosslare Harbour | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taking Notes | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scotty G | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jersey Cat Tale | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thegoodwitch | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jokers Queen | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Reina Isabel | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Arch | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Arwen | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jerry N Bo | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’sasweet Deputy | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Party | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Temple of Roses | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Belinda | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosalene | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dial a Princess | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Orthodrive | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sassy Susa | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tenacious Faith | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Ruby | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nina Loca | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smooth Rapids | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Temper Mint | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Salt Life Angel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.