October 27, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Steel Wool | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muskoka Son | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Leo | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | G Prince of Silver | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love of Mine | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scattered Strikes | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Born to Be King | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Path | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Deputy of Egbert | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cardiff Hall | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Historical Judith | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out of Cake | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gideon’s Sword | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moosey Baby | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shishka | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Edward | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fiesta in Vegas | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taravila | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boatloadofnerve | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chairman’s Venom | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Senorita Uno | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pressure Front | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Deep Maganta | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Lotus | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Femme Soldat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Elite Song | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muskoka Dancer | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Egyptian Nights | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bambarra Bay | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Romantic Gizmo | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dad’s Missy | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosiejewel Dancer | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Society | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glorious Gizmo | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tuscan Damsel | 3.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Red Return | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bahamian Park | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Silence Breakers | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Act of Bob | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Under City Lights | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Executive Search | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Vytruvian | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indica | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Speedy Bolt | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mia’s Extortionist | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Sativa | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Told It All | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wave Baby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dry Land | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Have a Souper Day | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Thor’s Thunder | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Union Colonel | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Inclusive | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Embrace My Uncle | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Elusive Knight | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Soul | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Over the Hills | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Kapellmeister | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gray Phantom | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | First Spring | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dani’s Victory | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bold Rally | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tale of Vienna | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zephan | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Curlin Grey | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grimgrinnin’ Ghost | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Epilogue | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Grey S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Finalist | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Green Growth | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Thunder | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chapalu | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Muskoka Gold | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Torres Del Paine | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bel Bimbo | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inside Risk | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookinatamiracle | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Secret | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Drink of Water | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Wally | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glenville Gardens | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Sting | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muskoka Wonder | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Piven | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Two Timing | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Silent Empire | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hidden Artifact | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lauderdale | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kissoffire (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ojiisan | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Waubaushene | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Foxy B | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thxforbeinmyfriend | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zoomer Music | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fiery Bear | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cat’s Whisper | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hope Vision | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Kelly | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Harmony Hall | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Spin Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.