October 27, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Incredibly Lucky | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Appolina | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vegas Strong Baby | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bellazano | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fuega | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tinnie | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunriser | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dulverton Darling | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Y Not Sizzle | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prance | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harper’s Gallop | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Auberge | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Gigi | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cosmic Cowgirl | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parkour | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bye Bye Beautiful | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Still in Love | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Governance | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Show Business | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Media Blitz | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liar Liar (IRE) | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Hoof Dynamite | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | The Stiff | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | K P All Systems Go | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Champers | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Handsome Michael | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Power Source (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hav Plenty | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dean Martini | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Too Late | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Witch’s Vow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Message | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time for Ebby | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Persepolis | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uno Trouble Maker | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rather Nosy | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Instinct | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mulhima (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hergame (GB) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Winning Element | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Forever Juanito | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tequila Joe | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Arch Anthem | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | War Chest | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfectly Majestic | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Comma To The Top S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leading Score | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midcourt | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Thirty Five | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oliver | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ground Attack | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Hot Legs | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stealthediamonds | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flower Point | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Devils Dance | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Andyoushallreceive | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Anonymously | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of the Track | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Factor of Two | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Reflect | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Truffles | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Edna | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pacifica (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.