Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 27, 2019

October 27, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 3 Eagerly 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Assiduously (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Absam 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tizme Bobby McGee 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Glynn County 8.00 SCRATCH
15 7 Cowtown 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Kinenos 5.00 SCRATCH
10 4 Breithorn 8.00 4.4 8-1
14 6 Amends 3.50 4.4 8-1
13 5 Uncle Ned 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Undefeated 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tapaloof 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Plan of Attack 6.00 SCRATCH
8 2 Beachwalker 20.00 5 9-1
16 8 Jedi Master 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 1 Dack Janiel’s 15.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Quick Entry 2.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Bourbon N Rye 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Talent Scout 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Tizanoxbow 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bears Mafia 5.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Our Stormin Norman 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Gallant Bid 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dr. Devera’s Way 4.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Sobersick N Sorry 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Admiral Lynch 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Instagrand 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Complexity 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 Hawaiian Noises 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Puttheglassdown 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Seethisquick 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Bitumen 30.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Arthur’s Hope 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Chelsey Flower S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sparkling Sky 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Micheline 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Quality Heat 15.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 English Breeze 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Lady Fatima 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sky Kitten 30.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Enola Gay 4.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Wicked Title 10.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Mosienko 30.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Princesa Caroline 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bredenbury (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Astoria Kitten 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Speaktomeofsummer 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kid Bourbon 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Spice Road 2.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Cardiff Cay 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ownitifyouwantit 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Corcoran 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Odin’s Steed 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 One Eyed Jack 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Communicator 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cash Offer 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Hay Field 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Bank Examiner 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Wadadli Princess 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Spring Drama 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Sunshine Gal 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Puffery 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Archumybaby 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Cartwheelin Lulu 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Pumpkin Pie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Chalon 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 Ms Locust Point 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Majestic Reason 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Pink Sands 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Honor Way 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Saguaro Row 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Philanthropic 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Last True Love 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Zagora S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fools Gold 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Wegetsdamunnys 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Pamina 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Another Broad 1.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Beau Belle 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Lady Montdore 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Homeland Security 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mercilla 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 War Cabinet 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Not in Jeopardy 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lemon Zip 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Violet Blue 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sky Full of Stars (GER) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Astarte Gold 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Cruising Strong 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Top Hat Invasion 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Welsh Gold 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 High School Crush 3.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Rewarded 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Kefaliani 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Emerald Banker 15.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Our Lady of Winloc 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 The New Miami 10.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.