October 25, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kylemore | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tough It Out | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dukes Up | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cabin John | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Original Intent | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sofi’s Gold | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Katla | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Via Alpina | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elgofranco | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flying Business | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Graceful Amelia | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | White Velvet | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Golden Melodie | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Kitness | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Girl Pearl | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tacocat | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Chrome | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Appreciated | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | I Belong to Becky | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Zipper Mischief | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Joe Jackson | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Prayer Warrior | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rinse and Repeat | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Occam’s Razor | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | First in Show | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Nonno’s Polaris | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nietzsche | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Code Gray | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Dub Thee | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daring Ways | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Vitamin | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spider Rico | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master Recovery | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mystery Messenger | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harmon | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Volubile | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Of Good Report | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Creep | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swamp Souffle | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blame It On Kitty | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soberano (FR) | 5.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Show It N Moe It | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love a Honeybadger | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anuket | 0.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Vestal | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Not to Love | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Git On Your Pulpit | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Norski | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dubnation | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harliss | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | An American Jet | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fortnite Dance | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Cat Canyon | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Go Sammy Go | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold N Grand | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Artcrilic | 30.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.