October 25, 2019 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Roman City | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wedontbelieveher | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cheap But Good | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Worthaprettypenny | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spitfire Suzie | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Florado | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Positive Force | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Fact | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Shackadelic | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Krsto Skye | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Griff | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tres Equis | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Lullaby | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock n’ Candy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zaevion | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | That’s Buckbeak | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mark My Way | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peekacho | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lieutenant Colonel | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slick as Ice | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Again | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasingthegame | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jerrid | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Commissario | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Romario | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Americain Joey | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Living Vicariously | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artemus Eagle | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Citi | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Main Factor | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Sarinana | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Raison Karter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Powder River | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unforeseen | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fate Factor | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ella Brilla | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fiona Power | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Solution | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spectacular Temper | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leah Chase | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bundle of Joy | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Busby Spring | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chloe Rene | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Turnstone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Shell Shock | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Grams Revenge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lngtermrelationshp | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iconic | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truth Seeker | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kearny County | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Croatian | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Ford | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Senor Jobim | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Front Door | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Spartanka | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Snaffle | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Step | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sayyida Al Hurra | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | We the Clouds | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Martz’s Mae | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Charmed One | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maga Suite | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | English | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tale of Mona | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kertara | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Speedy Vanessa | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love Beach | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | How Ironic | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Sunset Promise | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ginseng | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spun Eazy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dominga | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Secret Stash (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wexx | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Queen Bridget | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Princess Cora | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In Good Spirits | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | A K’s Song | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Itsarollofthedice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | I’m That Bird | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brittas Bay | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lady Kate | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | What a Fox | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Urban Insight | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Super Wonder Girl | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fun Finder | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gorgeous in Rags | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lifetime Memory | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Veiled Vixen | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kimberley Dream | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Crazy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | High Promise | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Apreciado | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hierarchy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Teryn It Up | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Convict Pike | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Broth | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Less Than Perfect | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cairo Cat | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Paddy O’Dini | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Fort Peck | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bruder Bob | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Catdaddy | 50.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Credit Swap | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Nevans | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sun Lover (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Run Rite | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.