October 25, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Big Shanty | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adrenaline | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Priority | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Release the Beast | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Song N a Cat | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lass Song | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Primetime Tiz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pierpont | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fuelinjectedprayer | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | D’dawson | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | A P’s Winner | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Jobim | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Tizona | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nippy Red | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Berko | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rahfees Man | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Giant Mesa | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Im a Cowboy Too | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Blue Warrior | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Indium | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | My Little Rockstar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rose Crown | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Knight Dash | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Storm Glow | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saber Queen | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Scat | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zingwediditagin | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Danza | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stop the Friend | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starbuck Luck | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Running Rosado | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Southern Galaxy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Resilient Rick | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | North Hullen | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Zapper | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carson City Cat | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Who Datawaki | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jade Star | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Montbrooks Miracle | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Summer Appeal | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bee Jay Gee | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Judge N Ruler | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stihl Harbor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ty’s Agenda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Katie’s Bayou | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Matapan | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Given Kisses | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moveslikeadancer | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | It’sakatfight | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tedders Angel | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C C’s Baby Girl | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boggidyboggidy | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Custom for Corales | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jewels of Sorce | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peace Treaty Pat | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Acadian Driftwood | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Gianna | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheryl’s Copy | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weavemeawinr | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Production | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | See What’s What | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shop Around Sue | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Formula | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Word of the Day | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sarge’s Daughter | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Light Her Up | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rock the Jukebox | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Green Lakes | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Impulse | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rocking Shoes | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doc’s Rocket | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Muskarella | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | L L L College Fund | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jackie Ems Pal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Imindycatbirdseat | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stephen’s Answer | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harbor Pilot | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prospector Fever | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Graceful | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cade’s On the Bump | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Buyer | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Post Close | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Point Hope | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Song and a Saint | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Nana’s Joy | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Casual Cool | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Devilish Sound | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Deep End | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kaydees in Town | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Betty the Babe | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zarb’s Winnie | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Yella Wally Gator | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | McIlhenny | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ipidate | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enticing Shaq | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Touched | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bet Again | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fix D Fence | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Clever | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Rain | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clever Racer | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Journey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ronda’s Custom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tojo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lauriano | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.