October 25, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. S | 0.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kemba | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Make Or Break | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | I Dare U | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indawin | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Amber | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Be Magic | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Las Ramblas | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Positive Power | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love of My Heart | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Cherokee Song | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trickle In | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jazzy Lady | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Leaf | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Noble Enterprise | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Plainsman | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You’re to Blame | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Realm | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bon Raison | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bonus Points | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Lovely La La | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mama Mary | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Sadie Lady | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Theaterintheround | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Swayed | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Cartwheelin Lulu | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Stonefactor | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Purrageous Dyna | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Newport Breeze | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wadadli Princess | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Merlins Muse | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sunshine Gal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cartwheel | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Maiden Beauty | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cirque | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Puffery | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Collegeville Girl | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Proportionality | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trouble for Skylar | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girl of Tosconova | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mary’s Girl | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elegant Rose | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whyisshesoolucky | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Apurate | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Logic N Reason | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Moral Reasoning | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Karakontie Flyer | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Values | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bramble Berry | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | One Time Around | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Candy Flower | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ill Will | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Paterson | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Evocative | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Toastnjam | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honor Belle | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trash Panda | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Supreme Aura | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zulu | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leitone (CHI) | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Control Group | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Dude | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Distortion | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mills | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fleet Irish | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frammento | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bound for Nowhere | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Made You Look | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Therapist | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Vici | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Axtell | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sand Dancer | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maraud | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | American Rule | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Beach Front | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exchange Fever | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Plebe | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Capt. Courageous | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Seven Is Heaven | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hudson Overpass | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Token | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No More Miracles | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Appointment | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clamor | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sporting Art | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Chocolate | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Bulwark | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Jet for Andy | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brown Eyed Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Candy Smile | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.