October 24, 2019 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ronamo | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Martial Eagle | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cantrell Hill | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mt. Mitchell | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Optimal | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trebulski | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Monday Confession | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Macho Dan | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Risk Strategy | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tachi | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Above | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sergeant McNerney | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inmyfathersimage | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trockette | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Arabian Story | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Repair the World | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Macho Madness | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shell Fire | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stock Chain | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Highlight Reel | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy’s On Strike | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moose Got Even | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wallet | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Black Lizzard | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rylee’s Rooster | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Smart Arch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Southern Humor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aye Aye Sir | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frontana | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Surprise Encounter | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Good One | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Substantial | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boss Onthe Horizon | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chief Howcome | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Hidden Promise | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Ingenico | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gratified | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Kiang | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Man Flintstone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kentucky Ghost | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jess Mo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mister Carson | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Summer Delivery | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vomba | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annathela | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Humor | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Cat | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Sister Madi | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Country Chick | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Mr. Alec | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Phantom Currency | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bluegrass Parkway | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Johnny Strong | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jimmy D | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Marksman | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Ucanthankmelater | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Proquestor | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sherkali (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tito Tonight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shazier | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Marshall Law (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | No Dozing | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dak Attack | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blueridge Traveler | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Major Cabbie | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Malibu Pro | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lone Rock | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Reride | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guest Suite | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rocking the Boat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Limari | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Daddy Is a Legend | 0.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stave | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Na Pali Spirit | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smart Emma | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Skeptic | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | American Frolic | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vagabond Princess | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Pretty Lucky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Solomonic | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Senor Friday | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Macca Tree | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s No Bull | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | J Zar | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a G Six | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cabo’s Rumor | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pioche Gold | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kalu | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.