October 24, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Linda’s Legacy | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jeweled Crown | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Laneys Love | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lucky Lily Be | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Asucar’s Match | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Taylor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Whisper Softly | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Typhoon Zing | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Blindness | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red Rebel Star | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Whistling Wind | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Man Camp | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Card Shark | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elite Runner | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alys Appointment | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Dewey’s Bull | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Express | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Branded Saint | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Top Money | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Little Red Kid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Holy Sunrise | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Flash’s Adventure | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Kai Baby Kai | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedomfi | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tucker the Grouch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Tapit On Race Day | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tin Delay | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Don Louis | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Priority | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Half Pipe | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’smyluckymoment | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arties Game | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Louisiana Hero | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | C C Harris | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Hooray Austin | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Reckless Ransom | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Saved by Zero | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sr. Clarky | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Beto | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Greeley’s Banker | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | I Rate First | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Walking in Faith | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Future Ruler | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bwana Go | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cavallotto | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inspire Courage | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Watch My Smoke | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wickets Way | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shaboxxo | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A We Bit Flirty | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valid Prospector | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lascivious | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nastida Mast | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Allstar Superstar | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Story | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Terri’s Temper | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sarah Ann’s Pointe | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bankers Honour | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angelic Kriss | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Little Mercy | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poker Fever Gal | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Springs | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Lucky Star | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sugarlicious | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Flyer | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Front Money Morgan | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lost Prado | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Big Money | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dance Till Two | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pitcher | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Becca’s Whisper | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fredonian | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harbor Knight | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jazz It Up | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chroniqueur | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Closing American | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Destinedtobeastar | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Musada | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prime Time | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Nocturnal Mission | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Color Fashioned | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oh Bette | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paradise Reunion | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smok’n Rita | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hush Y’all | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Honduras | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madeforlife | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Michel It’s Autum | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mintappearence | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Bet | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oleta Inez | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doeny Sparks | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warriors Speak | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Powered by Greeley | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Running Unbridled | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Maeve | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fromagentleman | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.