October 23, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | First Forever | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Citizen Matzo | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Movie Score | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evan’s Nice Now | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parlapiano | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Vale | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Emily | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Loaded Joe | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Larceny | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cobble Hill | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oroscopo | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dream’n Demon | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wisecrack | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Single Focus | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brockthebank | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No No Noah | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | One River Place | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sir Ballantine | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Peter’s Project | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Runabout | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shalako | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Armament | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Toohottoevenspeak | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Neighborhood Bully | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | River of Dreams | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Canarsie Angel | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Surprise Arrival | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 5 | Grudge | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Keypit | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Speightstown Gal | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Bella Invasion | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bella Rose | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tornado Crossing | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 4 | Time Shift | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Gold Medalist | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Barker Lane | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Businessindubai | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Bellavia | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Default Rate | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Moon Over Miami | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sixteen Tons | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Manolito | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Secret Rules | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Snap Chap | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 9 | Farmington Road | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Liam’s Fire | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Life On Top | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Eyed Raven | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Behind the Couch | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She Takes Charge | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Meadow Mist | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Heist | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Scones | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Orchid Party | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quietude | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 2 | Financial System | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Southern Bridge | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Everyonelovesjames | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Rapt | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chantry Flats | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Desperado | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gauguin (GER) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Conviction Trade | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Uhtred | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Alec | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Spirit Animal | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Leaveematthegate | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | More Glitter | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adorable Maya | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 4 | Courageous Girl | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mazal Eighteen | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Beyond Brown | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 1 | Price Target | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unicorn Sally | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Topaz Bride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 3 | My My Michelle | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Bounty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | I’m Fine | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Too | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.