October 19, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mariposa Belle | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kitten’s Finest | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Affair | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swilling | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joyful Cat | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maritime Breeze | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Optimystical | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sure Would Forest | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tall Water | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Uncle Drew | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Torah’s Blessing | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kilkenny Prospect | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sundance Hit | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquer the Breeze | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Ontario Fashion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Summer Sunday | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alnilah | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sanity | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Special Relativity | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Hill | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jean Elizabeth | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Belle Danseuse | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peace Seeker | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Niigon’s Spin | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alkeline | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Wedding | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rideforthecause | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | March of Dreams | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lake Manitou | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Windjammer (GER) | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gun Society | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnanimous | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runway Dreamer | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bossalina | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Temple Moon | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shes the North | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Entry | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Delightful Dreamer | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Anita Grigio | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wine Not Bourbon | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Under the Eye | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Obliviously | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cheeky Pint | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blushing Brew | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Enhanced Finance | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Venus Verity | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flashy Princess | 10.00 | 12.4 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kissy Bear | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Have Fun | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spider Belle | 12.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Senorita Uno | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Laxmi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Femme Soldat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Pressure Front | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Bayou Belle | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bold Strike | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hasn’t Hit Me Yet | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kayseri | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vana Grand | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | A Little Voodoo | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Itskathiesluckyday | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | L’Amour Toujours | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bold Rally | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Theregoesjojo | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camp Creek | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Auntie Katherine | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sine Metu | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bel Tempo | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itstartswithadrink | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prideofdistinction | 3.50 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burning Man | 10.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twentytwentycrest | 20.00 | 13 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coolshade | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | World of Prospects | 20.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Mc Culley | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ojo Del Mar | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Fuerst | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fire Down Below | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hedeman | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eboracum | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hardy Candy | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shelbourne | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sailin Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Victorian Moon | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Invodkawetrust | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sararenda | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Smile Lilah | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Singing the Blues | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Onezy’s Dream | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smarty Artie | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Triage | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Screen | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Juxtapose | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Suzie | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Krz Society | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.