October 19, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Warrior’s Moon | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sassyserb | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Phoenix Tears | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lofty | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jodie Faster | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Long Legs | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lakaya | 4.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Tequila Sunrise | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tengs Rhythm | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conformation | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Barbie | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discrete Stevie B | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fast as Cass | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boogalute | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lagoon Macaroon | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broke Away Grey | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Union Station | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Jones | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Navy Queen | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goveness Sheila | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Measureofdevotion | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slew’s Screen Star | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Fresh | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | California Kook | 3.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ride Sally Ride | 4.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Time Grammy | 5.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Satchel Paige | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corrana En Limen | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Claim of Passion | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nil Phet | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brace for Impact | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conte Cavour | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – California Flag H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tribalist | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Castle | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Abner | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Friend Emma | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What a View | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Portando | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grinning Tiger | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | General Interest | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Papster | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Totally Tiger | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shuster | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flat White | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Whispering Flame | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zero Down | 2.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Very Irish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Danceformunny | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bayonce | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nu Pi Lambda | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lucia’s Design | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Licia | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Sky Baby | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lace | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Chrome | 12.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Le Tub | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bruja Escarlata | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Reducta (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.