October 19, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Aseelah | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mary’s Song | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Talia Ladybug | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peace With Honor | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Well Brush Mytooth | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Risque’s Jewel | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Global Ambition | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Cleopatra | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Areni | 0.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Iron Lilly | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Runnin On Sunshine | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Berberslilbriebrie | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nothin But a Smile | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ballerina Kitten | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Star Lo | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trapps Star | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Braydens Start | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | True Upgrade | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Karabessa | 1.60 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Reigning Fire | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Salsita Roja | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Snow Blossom | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2X | 7 | Iwasbornawinner | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Miss Rage | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | High Math | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Baaqeya | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Verrazano Vittoria | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 11 | Glorious Mystery | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Fire Mission | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Fifty | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Imasuperstar | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Blinding | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Algorix | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Glass Bridge | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Down With the King | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Truly a Moon Shot | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Pegasus Red | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Rydell | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fire Sparx | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr Thrifty | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dynamic Dynasty | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breezy Gust | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Violent Turbulence | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | True Measure | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Went West | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scorpion Dynasty | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happyascanb | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mt Suribachi | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Democratic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Barry Karafin Bets | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mantle | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starinthemaking | 1.40 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roanie | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | E J’s Revenge | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A J’s Way | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backstretch George | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Mac Cool | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Baseline | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Window Table | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Slot | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Klaatu | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Tactical Plan | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Metaphorical | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | The Silent One | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | True Blue | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Charming Indy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | My Pirate | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Half Ton of Fun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | American Roma | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | W W Springtime | 0.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Factor It In | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Bridle | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Press My Bets | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Absentee | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Direct Order | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bojingle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tap the Mark | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.