October 19, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Saltking | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Hermano | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Irish Valor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Conforto | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Graded On a Curve | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Southern King | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Waynes Footsteps | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Invest | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Steelersfanforlife | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Barnacle Bill | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Curlin’s Legacy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fleet Admiral | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Maid Of The Mist S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Naked Avenger | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Credence | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Critical Value | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Firenze Freedom | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Beauty | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knight Train | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Playtone | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Magnetique | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Data Analytics | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rewarded | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Silver Bank | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Donna | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dancing Kiki | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Graphite Dutchess | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Voltairine | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sophie Fatale | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Mohawk S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Gucci Factor | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Therapist | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Voodoo Song | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cross Border | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Dot Matrix | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Offering Plan | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hoboe | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rapt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Empire Classic H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pat On the Back | 0.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Buff | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dynamax Prime | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not That Brady | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Hudson H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Build to Suit | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gold for the King | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | T Loves a Fight | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Chaos | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Breez | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Sicilia Mike | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eye Luv Lulu | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Winston’s Chance | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kazmania | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iroquois S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Satisfy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Disguise | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Carrera Cat | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pauseforthecause | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wadadli Princess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | More Mischief | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fair Regis | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Filibustin | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sleepy Hollow S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Three Jokers | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | City Man | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cleon Jones | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mission Wrapitup | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harris Bay | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Bombastic | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Ticonderoga S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fifty Five | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Munchkin Money | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kid Is Frosty | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Passage | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | English Soul | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | War Canoe | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wegetsdamunnys | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Broken Border | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wish Upon | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Empire Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ratajkowski | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Newly Minted | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Disguise | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bonita Bianca | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Out of Orbit | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Super Nova | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Might Be | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Hayne No Gayne | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Take Charge Aubrey | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Held Accountable | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unbridledadventure | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Freaky Styley | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Freudian Fate | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Disciplanarian | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Honest Toun | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Klickitat | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Worth a Shot | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Clear the Ramp | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dancers for Token | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moonlight Now | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Principal Dancer | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Masterprize | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.