October 18, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | You Can Never Tell | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brockmoninoff | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Been Redeemed | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Isabella’s Magic | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tri Try Colors | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Wild Bill | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shelly Island | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shadow Boxer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ollie’s Papa’s Boy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Pataz | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Determined Force | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Guns Down | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fourteen Carrot | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thirst for Quality | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maryland Badboy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Total Access | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brady’s Palace | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iambutter | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fifty Seven Chevy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kathak | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready to Run | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Man Cletus | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mice and Men | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Cotswold Wasp (GB) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Haz a Notion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hay Boy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Eifs | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gotaheadache | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Hot Betty | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grace Isabella | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Had the Notion | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | In Class | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Simonela | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship United | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Desert Princess | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Munnings | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Stetson Gold | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Queen of Schmooze | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ms Eileen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Twocubanbrothersu | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fortune Cookie | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight Shadow | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bronx Sandman | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jefazo | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hydraulic | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brighton Lane | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Degrom | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cast the Lot | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hunt Me Down | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Trek | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Auld Lange Syne | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Up Against It | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | On a Spree | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Barrel of Stout | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Marden | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tophat N Whitetie | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yes Man | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holly Sun | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Daper’s Drink | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Maurice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Duncastle | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rohrbacher | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flowmotion | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s One Wild Dude | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tom Hagen | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mind the Gap | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Chimes | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Don Jupp | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | English Tudor | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hardredcandy | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jai Blue | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sapphire Shilling | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Totalitario | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Brothersledge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kamehameha | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bunster | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Shiny Copper Penny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Priss | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lulu’s On the Move | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simmard Shenanigan | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Life in Flash | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizadoozi | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess A’go Go | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carly Angel | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Whim | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Go Willow Go | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Princess Cadey | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Little Jewel | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Boom Boom Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roma Delight | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Croix Valmer | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Kiss | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Babia | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ylikedis | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Next Summer | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Entrada | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Style | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Come On Callie | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Towson | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crossingthevalley | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Charming Emmy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Freedom | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Do Good | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kim’s Pet | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Majorie Mugs | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Party Girl | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twilightatwindsor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Alphabetting | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.