October 18, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Defy Expectations | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Stillatune | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rehab | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Invited | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cherokee Bless | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fresh Snuff | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Two More Barbo | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Whiskey Rox | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gaby’s Promise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Crider Chase | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Four Princesses | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tortuga Rio | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toomuch | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Down Britt | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jaded Rose | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Girls Life | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosemary Beach | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Gaze | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Our Bermuda | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Little Risky | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boogie N Bacardi | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Purim King | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dapper Dan Man | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our Bucket List | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smooth Warrior | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Attempted Sin | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heza Sexy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Navy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Union Salute | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madiba | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | State Treasurer | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Zendelphian | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Sorry Ruston | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fire Lake | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reddy to Bet | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One King Cat | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jack Be Quick | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Si Familia | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alex’s Turn | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Drewsizzle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Taste for Talent | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Creed | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hunters Appeal | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Vow | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mizztic Tale | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gato Americano | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greeley’s Dealer | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Inferno | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cameron Rules | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strawn’s Cash | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pinch Assault | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Great Sky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Moment | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ratatouille | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charlotte’s Wish | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doodling Debbie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Any Ole Thing | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Becky’s Dude | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flash Copy | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Expections High | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Mallory’s On | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Party | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Yours and Mine | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Philly | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Handful of Stripes | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cougar Country | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Geauxcro | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Wings | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sparky Sparkles | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Masterly | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Kissing Buck | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Jewel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sarah’s Passion | 1.60 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Lost Love | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Film Study | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Schiff’s Corner | 1.60 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sebs Princess | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | G’s Mine | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Oretta | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Chloe | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Joe G’s Payback | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kapenta | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ten Silver Pins | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Personal Double | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | That’s D ‘cat | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arkansas Martini | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rollwithit | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gone Lucky | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halos Prayer | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Star | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cayenne | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Big Maurice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Elkhorn Poet | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sutton Impact | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Boston Repo | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Skylas Gold | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wildwood Dejavu | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heisayankee | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Farewell Time | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Over Priced | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heartland Hit | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Wise Cat | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kid Slipper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stormation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.