October 17, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mamma Dee | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Sharpie | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arbutus | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Youknowwhatitizzz | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reina La Kelsy | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Hattie | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trois Ponts | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Patriot | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Manhattan Lady | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Do Good | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Avocado | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Judi Blue Eyes | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sea Candy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dilly Does It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Joyful Noise | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queena Esther | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drops and Buckets | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grecian Dancer | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dear Charlotte | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Radar | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rapid Route | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cherokee Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Star | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hunting Season | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vow to Dance | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Acting Chipper | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oh Baby Baby | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In a Snit | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bo’s Image | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fionnbharr | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scatnap | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shoobiedoobydoo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mortal Storm | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Comfy and Cozy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lacustre (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mary’s Jewel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mahkato | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Victory Rally | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adult in the Room | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victim of Love | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Keltoi | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | So Innocent | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mineshaft Madness | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pepper Sprout | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Ava O | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Madame Milan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rosebud’s Hope | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Diamond Play | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Gardenista | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sir Brahms | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monkey’s Medal | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barton Holt | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High Society | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Minister’s Strike | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Silver Romeo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kikinboy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Barin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Baltic Art (GER) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Telling Warrior | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baravelli | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | All Spun Up | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caprivi Strip | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunni Blaze | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meetmeatthewire | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hunca Rock | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Trips | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lights On | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gone Home | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Once in a Lifetime | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can Do Too | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Go With It | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | True Calling | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thunder Grunder | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Global Currency | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Irishtown | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Manley Cross | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Silver Sicilian | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Quality Matters | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Road to Oz | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Top Hat Warrior | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Partisan Divide | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Tracker | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pep Talking | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crypto Currency | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mysurewinwilliams | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Notionality | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Takemetodinner | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orient Point | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Defend the Bay | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quest of Glory | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Once More Eh | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steps to Glory | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Credit Cycle | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.