October 17, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flash Hands | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No No No | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Pledger | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Raising the Roof | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ella’s Lil Star | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Space Cowgirl | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Trip | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buy Me the Ring | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Holdonaminit | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Christeana’s Kiss | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Velvet Vision | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Jozzy Bell | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Sweet Milagros | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bobbies Reason | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Witty Cry | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Proudmoney | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Bandit’s Deelite | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Slew City Susie | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Western Star | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Suadade | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Race for Daddy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Laken Longlegs | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guilty Again | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | May Sun Can Run | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Big Daddy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Martin G | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pally | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spa Shackalacka | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge Easy | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Successful Ryker | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kingdom Way | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Point of America | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Toga | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cowboy City | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mediamaker | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Christopher Cat | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jacobs Flyer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rollwithit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Little Toe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Saponi | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miracle Master | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Em C | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Count | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hermano T K | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Butter Hut | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Colliery | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nuggetsofknowledge | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Bode | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papa’s Big Boy | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Primetime Tiz | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Adrenaline | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Rainey Day | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Sweet One | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Artist by the Sea | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natealyze | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dad Said No | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dance Even | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oneholylion | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Maurice | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Wined Up | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kid Correa | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lascivious | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Thirsty Wildcat | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blazin’ Asian | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reach the Circle | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wheres Mom | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Troubador | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Rick | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Primal Destiny | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jersey Cat Tale | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tensas Thought | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Mercy Percy | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight Michelle | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saints’ Girl | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crescentcitypretty | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dr Liz | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’ll Take It All | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz the Faith | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Showit | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carry the One | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Go Get That | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Streaker | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Scrimmage | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dickinson’s Image | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Town Willy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bet On J J | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zarb’s Last Angel | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Hot Fuego | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mimi’s Song | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Her Kare | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shrew Grit | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Boss Lady Melissa | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dragon Dragon | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dynamite Daughters | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | You Have a Point | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Millie Bee | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tina’s Pal | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ruby Red Slippers | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.