October 16, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fusi | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cairo Queen | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Funderella | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beans N Rice | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flattering Eyes | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Know Point Given | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sander’s Empire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Breeze | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Game Boy Benny | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shock Therapy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Four Freedoms | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sharpe and Ready | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Wicked Trick | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coolboy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Empirically | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy Lane Kitten | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Azzedine (FR) | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cobble Hill | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Championship Alley | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roller Rolls On | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Montatham | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Qaabil | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dreammaster | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Business Cycle | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Remstin | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Autostrade | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Lights | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gyoza | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take It to Scale | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Who’s Driving | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4B | 3 | Fame to Famous | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fear None | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Danzing Dunhill | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Justintimeforwine | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Feeling Dangerous | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Imperial Might | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5B | 4 | Ninth of April | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Will Sing for Wine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Lightning Rob | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | John Want Revenge | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | King of American | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Honor Way | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Nekia | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Daria’s Angel | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Riot Worthy | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breaking Bread | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | China Rider | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Tanya’s Gem | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy Janie | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Break Curfew | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sinwaan | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alisio | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Concerned | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Circle of Love | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Al Shamkhah | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | I’m Elmer J Fudd | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Pipes | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | My Amanjena | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tricky Magician | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Magical Tale | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | No Regrets | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 6 | Bad Guy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dashing Dan | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Smidge | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Spectator Sport | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Mend Up | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Curly | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bye Bye Man | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ninja Dust | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Time Expired | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Vincent | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.