Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 13, 2019

October 13, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Baaqeya 15.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Pastiche 5.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Free Coffee 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Not in the Mood 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Helotes 2.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Risque Express 12.00 6.6 12-1
6A 6 Tapete Claire 1.80 9.3 18-1
8A 8 Valiant Spirit 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Gurt Boys 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Hatteras Bound 2.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Kingslayer 4.50 5.8 11-1
2 1 Pharaoh’s City 4.00 6.3 12-1
4 3 Ask Chuck 5.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Sea Swap 10.00 7.1 13-1
5 4 To the Victor 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Ebo Strong 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dan’s Girl 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Charity Stripe 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Sheplaysthefield 1.80 4.6 9-1
1 1 Livin a Dream 1.60 6.2 12-1
3 3 Congressionalstorm 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Lookingforanewspot 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Special Risk 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Arrive in Style 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Manipulate 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Untangled Truth 1.80 5.6 11-1
4 4 Craigger 5.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Bet He Canhula 15.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Risque’s Affair 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Wildcat Cura 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Elregal 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Intrepid Spirit 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Start Meee 2.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Kick Kick Hustle 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Call Triple A 2.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Screen Saver 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Kelli’s Smile 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Transitive 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Catch Fire 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 9 Honor and Courage 2.50 4.7 9-1
14 12 For the Road 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Smart Rags 10.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Impactful 15.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Quench My Thirst 12.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Ride On Faith 20.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Thefundsarelow 30.00 10.1 19-1
12 11 Mr. Skittles 15.00 10.6 20-1
3 3 Sacrificing It All 30.00 11.4 21-1
5 5 Jimmy Who 20.00 11.5 22-1
9 9 Arrecife 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 First Degree Burn 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Lucky Lover Boy 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Powerful Venezuela 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Mess’n Around 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 2 Potra Liza 2.50 3.2 6-1
9 6 I’m Not Joking 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 5 Atina Salsa 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 3 Stormbeam 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 1 Friday Mass 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Sally O’Prado 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bree’s Got Heart 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Flashndynamite 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Rumor Ridge 6.00 2.9 5-1
10 9 Blue Eyed Girl 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Deserted 30.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Righteous Ruby 3.00 5.7 11-1
11 10 Ciao Luna 12.00 7.6 14-1
12 11 Heart Beat Away 15.00 8.7 16-1
7 6 Diamond N Simon 20.00 9 17-1
4 4 Yellow Chick 15.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Karen’s Gem 15.00 10.2 19-1
1 1 Zira 8.00 10.4 20-1
5A 5 Glowing Star 30.00 17.7 33-1
6 6 Galileo’s Affair 20.00 SCRATCH
13A 13 Runnin On Sunshine 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.