October 13, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rule Yourself | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Junipero Avenue | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jag | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tachyon | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Walk | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Animal Kingston | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Red Clay Road | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fantasize | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin At Blessing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rage Away | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sadler Bay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Conquest Falcon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bulland | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Maynooth | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Rumors of Violence | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Allison K | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Kim | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Determined Mission | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Heningham | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ginger in Disguise | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pompano | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tac Up | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fancy Outflanker | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fifteen K | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R True Sensation | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Nancysaidso | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Weekends for Work | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Orbiting the Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Group Text | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rookie Salsa | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Muchmorethanthis | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Score | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classy Solution | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guilty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sight of Heaven | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Golden Gary | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Onarock | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baysider | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tappahannock | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hazaspittin’ Image | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eddy Dirt | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elevated Forever | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Native Flora | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Lance | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Multiple | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justabitunderage | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paul the Waiter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Noble Lion | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Isabella’s Magic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Souper Courage | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Haiku | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Banishment | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bricktop | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maryland Bandit | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Given | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yess Pec | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Makemie Park | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Boat Over the Hill | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Out of Bullets | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | D W Fitz | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alleria | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barton Hall | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pigeon Creek | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Echo of Victory | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Cadillac | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Art Thief | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Banreena | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Topline | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweetbriar | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pom Pom Girl | 50.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Best Moon Ever | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Fox | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Mercury | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aspen Rose | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Petes Pride | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long Point Beach | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dancer’s Melody | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tippy Tippy Tay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Start With Yes | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Casper Slew | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vee’s Super Star | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monumental Vending | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Galilean Moon | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Great Go Go | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Fighter | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trotter Road | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goodluckchuck | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gray Gary | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Hat Treason | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Audacious Quality | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pinar | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eje Gama | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Really Felix | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gi Jo Man | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Chill Out | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rockin Ron | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Walk Away Joe | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Make Us Smile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Distilled Spirit | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mine to Hold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | True Calling | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Created Special | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Summer Somewhere | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.