October 12, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Marrazano | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Square Peggy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Time for Kisses | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coilette | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Staythirstymyamigo | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Tiger | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Top of the Game | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sunset Seven | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hard Arch | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin B | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bitter Ring Home | 4.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bellerin | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Go for a Ride | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fay Dan | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speakerofthehouse | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camps Bay | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Musketier | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rightful | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Muskoka | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chase and Colorado | 6.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ziyanair | 50.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Merwin’s Magic | 30.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Claudelle | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jaccat | 1.60 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Lady Ann | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diamond of Value | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leading Indicator | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Maneuver | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Map Maker | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Drama for Mama | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Richies Noble Girl | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Speighty | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Girl Pearl | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Kitness | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Gigi | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Well Done Sally | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Secretary | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Roadrunner’s Honor | 3.50 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gingham | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Matera | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paige Anne | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cherokee Maiden | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dipping In | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overjoyed | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dolci | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rare Find | 6.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – California Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | S Y Sky | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Sell | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Blu | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Grazed Me | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Bee to You | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silk From Heaven | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Unicorn | 1.20 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paige Runner | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cover Version | 3.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shear Class | 2.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surreptitious | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full Eclipse | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Blue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Make It a Triple | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | North County Guy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Via Egnatia | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nolo Contesto | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captivate | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 2.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Buzz | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wound Tight | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | M Town Gem | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Hedges | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dreams of Valor | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.