October 11, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pink Lemonade | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speed Gauge | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Decisive Victory | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bob W. | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Klassy Delight | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Chiamo Stefano | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Rocket Man | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Pietro | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Staronthehorizon | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | November Fog | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chaldea | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foxy Power | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Devil | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gizmo’s Princess | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Bonita | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Seen | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Magic Tapit | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brass Compass | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noholdingback Bear | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call Me Wally | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Success | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muskoka Wonder | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Western Trouble | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Seemee | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Precious Badge | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frankie Barone | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cash Dividend | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Donnie Brasco | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit of York | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ami’s Link | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ingordwetrust | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | San Nicola Thunder | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chiricahua Signal | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nashville Knight | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Slew | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Way Never (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mas Chikilin | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marten River | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Rush | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Carver | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rapid Fire | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Personal Journey | 2.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ammunition | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bread Crumbs | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Overbearing | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stop the Humbug | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Capture the Ride | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He’s a Gizmo | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cepelinas | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Special for You | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lisa’s Escarpment | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Brie | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Misguided Passion | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Court Reporter | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shez a Ten I Know | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Field Party | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stella Ella Ola | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cheek to Cheek | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Analyzer | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ace of Diamonds | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Titochip | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Silver | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ginger Sky | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Absolution | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seventyseven Stone | 30.00 | 14.6 | 27-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Backed | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.