October 11, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | You’reright Again | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brickyard Ride | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Chapin | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Govenor Cinch | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carnelian Hero | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mahi Mahi | 2.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sweet Boy | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baltimore Beecho | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Ride | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smiling to Excess | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roses for Laura | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Destiny’s Journey | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vegan | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jetovator | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cafe Clara | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Your Jets | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Fun | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fravel | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bud Knight | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coast of Roan | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Harliss | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fortnite Dance | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rineshaft | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Truest Reward | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | U S Hero | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Disputed | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Cat Canyon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rocko’s Wheel | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Getaloadofthis | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shane Zain | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Concur | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leroy | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Top Brass | 2.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Cha Cha | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loud Mouth | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Fabozzi | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight Drive (ITY) | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kylemore | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Impression | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Start a Runnin | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Offshore | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zip the Monkey | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Play Hard to Get | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soberano (FR) | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Juanito | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Satanta | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Strike | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rick’s Dream | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minoso | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Onthewingsofadream | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clem Labine | 3.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Fitting | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ishi | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Heathers Grey | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flying to the Line | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saburai | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trust Fund Kitty | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kittyhawk Lass | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laker Jet | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coldwater | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Bunting (IRE) | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Posh Holly (IRE) | 3.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz Wonderfully | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lil Bit Dangerous | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sophie Antoinette | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Diamond of Value | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.