October 11, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Given Kisses | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Sis | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Ms Bossy Pants | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mintappearence | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mabelee | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond for Crider | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Terri’s Temper | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doeny Sparks | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Emily’s Pegasus | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gabby’s Freedom | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Oleta Inez | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mimi’s Song | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dreamer’s Point | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Odyssey Explorer | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Opportunity Cost | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thunder and Rain | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Run for Three | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Image | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tornado Man | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spring Rodeo | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Cash | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aw Ite | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Palace | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Toni’s Star | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Storm | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jade’s Autumn Sky | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Jones | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slither | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Louisiana Hero | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Castleman | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Blue Jay | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Reece’s Priority | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Amigo Charlie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Candy for Three | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Academy Bay | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shaboxxo | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shooters Alley | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Valley of the Hide | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leftfieldjunction | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Smitty | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Machete | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Appeal | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lip Service | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Arkansas Martini | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Trivista | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Napoleon’s Empire | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Dance Kingdom | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Centsmybabyleftme | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Track Binder | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Mr. Big City | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Eat the Ticket | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Mister Mister | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Laneburg | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Z Glitter Street | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Love | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Schnitzel | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mangelsen | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quicksilver | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tensas Ten | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Andy Jones | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solid Red | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Last Nite Out | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Distinct Quality | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Little Man | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forestry’s Buddy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Ducky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | E Rated | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nate’s Way | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Navy Times | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A P’s Winner | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pickett | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Game for Sissys | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Greeley | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Dad Louie | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Magnolia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Remember Daisy | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hyper Piper | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dontmesswithjoanne | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Cutter | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fleet Halo | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special Blessing | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mariah’s Galaxy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maline | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bella Cajun | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thegrayspider | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Is Too | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Miss Billie K | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sarah’s Passion | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Molly Golightly | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joe G’s Payback | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Lost Love | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catcake | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oretta | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boston Cadillac | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | My Money Honey | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sudden Afleet | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Peppermint Match | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Redding Well | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cabo Sunset | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wish for Interest | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toshita Forever | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paddy O’Belle | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sissy’s Gold Song | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thinking of Her | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Newfie Crown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Siberianproduction | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.