October 10, 2019 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Myositis Mystique | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Served Cold | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diva Banker | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Connect | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love the Power (FR) | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonfield | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Trick | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Maukette | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | My Sweet Baboo | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keepme in Thegame | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Passive Investing | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cloche | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shush | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Temple City Terror | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Paynter | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sara Sea | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scary Animal | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keepthe Main Thing | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allonge | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wolfe County Miss | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elke Do Jaguarete (BRZ) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mean Mary | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sheza Rockstar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Getridofwhatailesu | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Flash | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snattered | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Resurrection Road | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swiss Dot | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blunt Force | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready Orb Not | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Addison | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Classy Justice | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s So Bossy | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mesange | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starvana | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Springdale | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | East and Union | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Veilazig | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Rebellion | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Her Giant | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Path | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nice N Cosi | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Centerfold Angel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cape Bliss | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | The Ash Factor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Platinum Gale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Enchanting Kitten | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Agi’s Cait | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Strella’s War | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zip Drive (FR) | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Julia’s Ready | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alluring Approval | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tuned (GB) | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thanks Be (GB) | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breakfast Pond | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tropical Frosty | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thai Chili Sue | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | We’re Still Here | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lonely Private | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marquee Thunder | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hail to the Chief | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Land Grant | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jerzees One | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Austrian | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beverly Park | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | It’s Mandatory | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Total Destruction | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Kidd | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Xanthique | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zuzanna | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unapologetic Me | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Frond | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dabinett | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Be Nimble | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Introspection | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Artistic | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City Diva | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Surprise | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Note to Selfie | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zofelle (IRE) | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Indian Lover | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | One Man Party | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Time On Target | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Commandeering | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Lullaby | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | San Juan Diego | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Honduras | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Cadron Flats | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Undercover Lover | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Drunken Fridays | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sparkys Surprise | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dragon Drew | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Parlor | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Krampus | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sacred Life (FR) | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Doctor Mounty | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Factor This | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Get Western | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Exulting | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deauville (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Great Wide Open (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Picaro (CHI) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Afleet Ascent | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Reride | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lone Rock | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cairo Cutie | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drop Dead Gorgeous | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lyonaisse | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady C | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pastoral | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Brown Sparrow | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coincidence | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess in Charge | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Miss Emma’s Song | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Its a Ford | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Finer Things | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Moonrags | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.