October 8, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shackled Romance | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hide the Candy | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ginger and Jingle | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Threatlovesmidnite | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizprocess | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Vinnie | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bill’s Mafia | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stand and Salute | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lunar Rover | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Mark | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Butch Cassidy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gitidone | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polished Steel | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Smooth Don B | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Final Ritual | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wishful Quality | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trunk of Money | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cardi G | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tara’s Talent | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mistress At Sea | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mermaid of Honor | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kris d’Oro | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Floating Rate | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Next Queen | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dearest Ella | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stay Salty | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Streak of Kitten | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Rush Kizzie | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Bolton Billy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Lou’s Chardonnay | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Miss Lamborghini | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Simply Great | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Carry Your Heels | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | La Candelita | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | My Candy Forest | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Trapps Star | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seeking Shamrocks | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Glotonasa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | I Got a Rock | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11A | 6 | Nottoway | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Word On a Wing | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Risk Reversal | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Xy Speed | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Dennis’ Diamond | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | South Sea | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Shane’s Jewel | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Amblin Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Smooth B | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tale of E Dubai | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | You’re No Saint | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mambo At the Gym | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don Camillo | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clowney | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rydell | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cinco Y Cinco | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belly Dancer | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freudian Fall | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mind Magic | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flying Rocket | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Parx Fall Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | The Last Zip | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Clear Vision | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Epic Bromance | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Chilly in Charge | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | English Bee | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | War Bridle | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Compound It | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Carlos L. | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Spun to Run | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Premium Motion | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Andrea’s Pride | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Candy for All | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Antonella | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | C C’s Freedom | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Symphony of Love | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allegretto | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Move It Missy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aiken to Belong | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Zelica | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.