October 6, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twitter Storm | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Figura | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Nina | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dolly Dagger | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cobra Sophie | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hassah (GB) | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monsoon Rain | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trinity Thundah | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time to Dance | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Northern Solution | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Chart | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild About Blue | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mia’s Extortionist | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sparkish | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ready Soul | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last American Exit | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Handsome Guy | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Creative Force | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookinatamiracle | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Enchant Me | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Executive Sight | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Frobisher Bay | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Serengeti Cat | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ben Lomond | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Kid’s Mischief | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seattle Affair | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flight Deck | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fritzie’s Boy | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Sheriff | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pool Playa | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Handsome Like Me | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Captain Sidney | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Courting a Kiss | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Goldmine Glory | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vesperanza | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Call to Service | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Twomanyshots | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sister Grace | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sweet Shades | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Ballerina | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Two Timing | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arnie the King | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Poquito Bandito | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Quietly | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fiery Bear | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lauderdale | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Artifact | 4.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chestermere | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stopvictimizingme | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Major Kelly | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Foxy B | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Honor | 1.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Silent Jet | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hold’emforransom | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rose’s Vision | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Woodbridge | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Black Sea (FR) | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Artistico | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Itstartswithadrink | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Cup And Saucer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pleasecallmeback | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Barilko | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fantastic Breeze | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Goldmine Cat | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Malibu Mambo | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kunal | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | More Chances | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Thunder | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Muskoka Giant | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cryptic Grip | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Muskoka Gold | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Revenge | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Real Money | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Wandofuhr | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Distinct Passion | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Crawl From the Bar | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Captain Handsome | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alacritous | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maximum Perfection | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bronze Age | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa D | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Trappeze Artist | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Amnesty | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Muskoka Son | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Congrats | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Polydeuces | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Ruggero | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tall Water | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie’s Game | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Skipped Him | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Steel Wool | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mayan Ghost | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nonplusultra | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Seventh Wonder | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Born to Be King | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.