October 6, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mutineer | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Single Me Out | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peytons Path | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Takeo | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moana Luna | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Colombian Gold | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orquidias Biz | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’m the Hero | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beautiful Thunder | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Officious | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Melodie | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mo’ Licious | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sabinos Pride | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | M Is for Magic | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Ella | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nu Pi Lambda | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Majestic Gigi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lighthouse | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Honeywhiskeynwine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Der Lu | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coco Kisses | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapitha Bonita | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Empire | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carressa | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Zuma Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Encoder | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Billy Batts | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hariboux (GB) | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Club Aspen | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Beast | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Runnings | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit the Road | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Darpa | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lily Con | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Suezaaana | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Point Received | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Info’s Treasure | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Destiny’s Storm | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Kitty | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Speakeasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Ginobili | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Square Deal | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bulletproof One | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Biddy Duke | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Raging Whiskey | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greg’s Diva | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alfie Solomons | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Tip | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | El Tigre Terrible | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Absolute Weapon | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Commander (FR) | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Anuket | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Andyoushallreceive | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stirred | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | So Gucci | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Time for Ebby | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rather Nosy | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Ava’s Union | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Creative Instinct | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hergame (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Surfer Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cholula Lips | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Savvy Gal | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mind Out | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Warren’s Showtime | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Croughavouke (IRE) | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Yesterdayoncemore (IRE) | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Applecross (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Shirlee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Eclair | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.