October 6, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Xmasinthecity | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Amigo | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slippin Jimmy | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Silence | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Antipoison | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grateful Bred | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lawn Boy (GB) | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Torch of Truth | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Homeofthe Lombardi | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free to Trump | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Earned It | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Threethehardway | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harpers First Ride | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Absolved | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shortlist | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empty Tomb | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Christopher | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jump Jive an Wail | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crouchelli | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Top Me Off | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unaquoi | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Something Magical | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Believe Indeed | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What the Beep | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ten Count Out | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foggy Dreams | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Skiff | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saffron Spirit | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bust Another | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scout’s Honor | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Tom | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Zip Zip Man | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amelia’s Wild Ride | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | War Stroll | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Atlantic Sun (GB) | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Totaled the Benz | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Romeo | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jai Blue | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Roller | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Moonstruck | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | He’s Not Tapit | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justinthenickotime | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heart Hero | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deshackled | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super E | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Johng | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jestful | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A T M Awesome | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Friends Beer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Thoughts | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanna’s Gray | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ilchester Cheetah | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whoisaprettygirl | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Olive’s Bumpa | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two for Ten | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tink | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Terp | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prevailing Party | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sierra Leona | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gfour | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dear Charlotte | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Letmeslidebyyou | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Emma’sdiamonddiva | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.