October 6, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Great Johanna | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amos | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marquet Legacy | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sandra’s Mine | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Cent Tootsie | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finlee | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amazing Zero | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Zappem | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Fire | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Cover Photo | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Evan’s Nice Now | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tayler’s the Boss | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dirty Bird | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Parlapiano | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Vale | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Princess Mikayah | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Krewe Chief | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Right Hand | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unleveraged | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prioritize | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Mans Land | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Westerland (GB) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devamani (FR) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Startup Nation | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whatawonderflworld | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Local Counsel | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Not That Brady | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Ghost Giant | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Singapore Trader | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Le General | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Outrageous Bet | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Love Jaxson | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Manoffire | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ides of Arch | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Storm Prophet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Riendo | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Be Magic | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stuy Town Baby | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mebs Web | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Broadway Angel | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | All Over the Map | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top Hat Invasion | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Micro Margarita | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Red Girl | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bella Invasion | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Big Cyn | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Over Thirsty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Welsh Gold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Orsay | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Power Move | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Yellow Brick Road | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kansas Kis | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Money Never Sleeps | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amazing Ride | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Thissmytime | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Good Shabbos | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Summer Belief | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lake Avenue | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strike Magic | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bay Jewel | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roma Carpe | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Futurity S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Embolden | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Another Miracle | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Four Wheel Drive | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jack and Noah (FR) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tomato Bill | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freewheeler | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Flower Bowl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sistercharlie (IRE) | 0.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empressof the Nile | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ferdinanda | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thais (FR) | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Sippy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beau Belle | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lantiz | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Frizette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Frank’s Rockette | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Response | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Whisper | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daphne Moon | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Marissa | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slam Dunk | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Princess | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Alphalfa | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Daring Disguise | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Zechariah | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disciplanarian | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Adversary | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | No More Miracles | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Big Wonder | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Straitouta Congtin | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seven Plus Seven | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sidd Finch | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Breaking Boundary | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lorcan | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snow Lion | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Snappy Landing | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 15A | 15 | Hudson Overpass | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bulwark | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.