October 5, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Known But to God | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | City Siege | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hail to the King | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vorian | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Always Free | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tommy’s Top Cat | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iiidentical | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deerstalker | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tempestuous Angel | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s Got Talent | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Student Union | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Down With the King | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot N Spicy Love | 0.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Kisses | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tuffy’s Lucky | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wild Caramelo | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uplifting | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hammers Vision | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whateveryouwant | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Tail | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Popizar | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lawn Dart | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Snow Blossom | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pogey | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Willthisshipsail | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Cathy | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | W W Cougar | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pantaloni | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Damisela | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street Appeal | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iwasbornawinner | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rigel’s Halo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Gilded Warrior | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hatteras Bound | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Metaphorical | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Super Fleet | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blinding | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Li’l Dude L Do It | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Drummer Don | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gorsuch | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vocab | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sidewalk Prophet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Busster Von Trappe | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crowheart Butte | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rebel Traveller | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nonno Pietro | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Obviously Dramatic | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brown Eyed Boy | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Joe the Boss | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Factum Love Style | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rated Special | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Incubator | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stolen Love | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Klaatu | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sight Line | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Charming Indy | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Salutation | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ginner | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brio Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Greenwood Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | War Story | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lemonade Thursday | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marconi | 0.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | His Royal Majesty | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adventist | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asphalt Paving | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Navy Commander | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.