October 5, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flirtation Walk | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You Made It | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Controllingthegold | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Bob | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missimard | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stakes On a Plane | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polished Gal | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Great Provider | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Junction | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magician’scalendar | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papacho | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cash Exchange | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Here’s a Jetpack | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Spartiatis | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lectric Choke | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Five Star Perfect | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bubba Seventy Six | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Start a Fire | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runner Runner Indy | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Total Access | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fifty Seven Chevy | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome At Riedes | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mayas Miracle | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Donna G | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twirling Wind | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bethabara | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amarin | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Fire | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We Miss Susie | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sudden Brilliance | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R V Treasure | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Imagination | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Candy Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pagliacci | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Critical Way | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nova Boy | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Braxton | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jarvis Steel | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snowday (FR) | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jammer | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Robey’s Boy | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clever Triad | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fly E Dubai | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shane’s Jewel | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Warm | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Awesome | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bronze Charm | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Pitch | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Atlantic Avenue | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pearl Gem | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Graceygab | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bearsatlanticmist | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bring It On Home | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Market Money | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mast Cove | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Missworldvenezuela | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sudden Hope | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just too Much | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pretty Surprise | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Hot Betty | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hug a Tree | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desert Princess | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Promising Pistol | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forfiftyfiverocket | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Harbour | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Out of Bullets | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sudden Breeze | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Given | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naughty Thoughts | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nosey Josy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ravenel | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lulu’s On the Move | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ortinola | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess A’go Go | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Toast to Kay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sunday Red | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunniva | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kitty Zip | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baltimore Babe | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Data Princess | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oddseverinurfavor | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Night Bloom | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honorable Profit | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Temple Garden | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Capturemenow | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.