October 5, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rockin Ruth | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sister Drama | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms. Picadilly | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patty Mac’s Girl | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mochkla Mochkla | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Tandy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gimme Kimmy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Handfull | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Come On Callie | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | American Glory | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Priss | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Angel by the Sea | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kim’s Pet | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Country Linedancer | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treasured Info | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Juliet | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Oceans Map | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eastern Ocean | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spooky Island | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brice | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bomoseen | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | O’Haire | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Newly Acquired | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Appraised | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Wickydidit | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | High Threshold | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Under a Spell | 1.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | San Marco | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Padrino’s Heart | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gilded Drama | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No Honor No Deal | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Quick Man | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Straight Humor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Beachtreasuregirl | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Driver’s License | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Notion’s Beauty | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Personal Server | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Buddha Kai | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sergio’s Panchita | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gem of the Ocean | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bally Squall | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hopeful Treasure | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palvera | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garnett | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belleau Wood | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cpl. Dionicio | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maximo Strong | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sincere Man | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maynooth | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Expect Drama | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tuff Duff | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Chocolate Chip | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pawn It Back | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fountainstreetkid | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Blue Atlas | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Glam | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Lovely Sunset | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Don’t Charge It | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Southern Christmas | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Graceful Request | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Crater Rim | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Unbridled Escape | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pride Leader | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alin Azul | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ever Changing | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | It’s a Trend | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Revolving Love | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Signing Bonus | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bourbon Style | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grammy Joan | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Little Satilla | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Color Gray | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Willow Drive | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foxy’s Edge | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Camp Counselor | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Stormy Forecast | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Unclenedwhodrank | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pahall Revear | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | I Got the Brahms | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | High Frequency | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ricardito | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Quickhatch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.