October 5, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 4 | Daria’s Angel | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bertranda | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | My Roxy Girl | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No Deal | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Timely Tradition | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jump for Joy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Orchid Party | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shandian | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hold My Call | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blues City | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | False Alarm | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Small Invasion | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pacquiao | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goneonamission | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carters Got Sass | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | All Quality | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Music of Life | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kreesie | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Quiet Dignity | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Atomic Blonde | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blonde Moment | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Here Comes Jackie | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Goodbye Brockley | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom’s Queen | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maedean | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Dime | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harlem Heights | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Always a Queen | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Glory | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlit Fantasy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Water White | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Disco Partner | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hawkish | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shekky Shebaz | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Final Frontier | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fully Vested | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gidu (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | They Shot Sonny | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Matron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Karak | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Wow | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alms | 1.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time Limit | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Freud of Mama | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Sadie | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sonneman | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mo and Go | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cowtown | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cost Basis | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Edge | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapage | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vintage Print | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Afoot | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Onward | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Sting | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jedi Master | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Alley Oop Johnny | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Hill Prince S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | A Thread of Blue | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Digital Age (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Neptune’s Storm | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Benny | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon War | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Henley’s Joy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Standard Deviation | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seismic Wave | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taos (FR) | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sadler’s Joy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arklow | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Channel Maker | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ya Primo (CHI) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Channel Cat | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zulu Alpha | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cross Border | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Champagne S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Green Light Go | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Technique | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Gozilla | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alpha Sixty Six | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz the Law | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Truculent | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big City Bob | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9B | 7 | Voodoo Zip | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U S Army Corps | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sul Moon | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Scanno | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | War Stopper | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Country Grammer | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapaloof | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lord of the Nile | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | John Want Revenge | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Don Juan Kitten | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10B | 8 | Uncle Ned | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Conglomerate | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Extreme Force | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Perjury Trap | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.