October 3, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Neva’s Gal | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ivanya | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blue Suade Guitar | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lemon Drop Kitty | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gizmo | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mija Bella | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cat Giumarello | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lunetta | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mossy Chick | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luna Tunes | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just a Kitten | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Girl | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ziggy Is Zubby | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Leia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Not Necessarily | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Storm Tower | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Disco Volente | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Purrs Well | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Radcliffe Royale | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Erin Go Braugh | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Red Roman | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2B | 7 | Firing Licks | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Virginialovers | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | Boppin Road | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Purrs Again | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 11 | Dancer’s Kin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cort’n Asong | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stand Guard | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ox Bro | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Battle Ready | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iwishiwaspecial | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Babalight | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Anabella Queen | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zarbanda | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Lion and the Wolf | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Wise Trade | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glory Ride | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | That’s Angelina (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Goldmakesmesmile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Burning Question (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Holiday Prayer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Liberale (FR) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Alydarius | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Agora | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mydrinkselection | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trace | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caught Up in You | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Case Dismissed | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yes to the Dress | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bettyann | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Appealing Honor | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Epic Drama | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Zeus Odin | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Not a Chance | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Delta Outlaw | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Greely Is Back | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Enasoit | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What a Image | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | David’s Slingshot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Street Shark | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Silent Tale | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tappin Cat | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Slipper | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Compounding | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Lover Boy | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Smurthwaite | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wahoowa Wahoowa | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gadago | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sunshine Bay | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alexbabe | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just a Whim | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ocean Court | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Darlindiva | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Estrella Grande | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Glitter | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tajeliha | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blazing D. R. | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dilly Does It | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.