October 2, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Moondance Joy | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Letmetakethiscall | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Victoria | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dan’s Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Golden Vale | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Loyalty | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Paradiso | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Expense | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Farcical | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eighty Seven North | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tarallucci | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cold Hearted Cat | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dancing Slippers | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fika | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Renninas Rose | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Royal Lineage | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tempus | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Managing Risk | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Kobe | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | O’Bushido | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Upham | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bongga | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Strong Legacy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Catch a Cab | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cloontia | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Freud | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Appealing Briefs | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peter’s Project | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Mobridge | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gosilently | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blame the Thief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hokulea | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Samadi Sky | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | H Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 8 | Snake Oil Charlie | 50.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Dark Money | 0.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Clench | 0.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chuckles | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hardcore Folklore | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brush Country | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bears Mafia | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shock Therapy | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Analyzethisandthat | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Affair | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Life in Shambles | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heavy Roller | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aristocratic | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Ballantine | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coltandmississippi | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frammento | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Siding Spring | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | John Jones | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lemonist | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scholar Athlete | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bon Raison | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sentry | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dalarna | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Keota | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Righteous Ruby | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Augusta Moon | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | O’Malley | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Teletype | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tiple (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Overheated | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Questeq | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cape Cod Diva | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proportionality | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Excess Capacity | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Take Charge Tina | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.