October 1, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Knock Out Kid | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | She’smyrisenstar | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | True Upgrade | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Verrazano Vittoria | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Tomarie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Hay Buck | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Big Momma | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Miss Al Dila | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Velocita Brillante | 0.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | La Candelita | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Mrs. Crews | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6A | 5 | Crystal Pier | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 6 | Sprawling | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
4A | 4 | I’m Thirsty | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Iron Lilly | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 4 | La Bella Pina | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Only Essa | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Berberslilbriebrie | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Empty House | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Grande Beso | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
2 | 1 | Dereya | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Pebble Road | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Sidereal | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Stated | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Straight Madness | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Sugar Streak | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Phyllis Driller | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
9 | 8 | Classy Lynn | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
6 | 5 | Dreamer’s Moon | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Candy Boss | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Dutchess Caroline | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Haatchi | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Posseineffecttoo | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Kate’s Bull’s Bay | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Tiz a Tribute | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Florencia | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Big Red Oak | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | New Bolton Billy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Teak | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
5 | 4 | Seven Gems | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Hay Boy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Fox Red | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Allaboutmike | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Komrad | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | Smart and Tough | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Charity Stripe | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Littlemissbusiness | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Roll On Big Mama | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Arcelor | 0.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Krissys Manicure | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Love On Fire | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Lendar | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | Lookingforanewspot | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Sally O’Prado | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Class and Cash | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 6 | Jw’strickymischief | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Missin the Big Dog | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
7 | 5 | Forest Fire | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Boyd Crowder | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
9 | 7 | Megacity | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Trilogy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Amblin Man | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Red Razzo | 1.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Star Player | 0.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Iron Lion | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Spider Jorgensen | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Captain Bober | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Bill’s Mafia | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Proudmiamicitizen | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Cloudy Saturday | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.