Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, October 1, 2019

October 1, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Knock Out Kid 3.00 2 4-1
4 3 She’smyrisenstar 1.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 True Upgrade 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 5 Verrazano Vittoria 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Tomarie 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hay Buck 10.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Big Momma 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Miss Al Dila 15.00 3 6-1
3 3 Velocita Brillante 0.60 3.3 6-1
5 4 La Candelita 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Mrs. Crews 3.00 3.3 6-1
6A 5 Crystal Pier 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Sprawling 10.00 3.7 7-1
4A 4 I’m Thirsty 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Iron Lilly 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 La Bella Pina 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Only Essa 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Berberslilbriebrie 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Empty House 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Grande Beso 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Dereya 3.50 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Pebble Road 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Sidereal 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Stated 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Straight Madness 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Sugar Streak 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Phyllis Driller 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Classy Lynn 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Dreamer’s Moon 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Candy Boss 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dutchess Caroline 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Haatchi 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Posseineffecttoo 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Kate’s Bull’s Bay 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Tiz a Tribute 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Florencia 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Big Red Oak 5.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 New Bolton Billy 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Teak 1.60 2.2 4-1
5 4 Seven Gems 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Hay Boy 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Fox Red 4.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Allaboutmike 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Komrad 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Smart and Tough 30.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Charity Stripe 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Littlemissbusiness 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Roll On Big Mama 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Arcelor 0.80 4.3 8-1
2 2 Krissys Manicure 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Love On Fire 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Lendar 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Lookingforanewspot 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Sally O’Prado 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Class and Cash 0.80 SCRATCH
8 6 Jw’strickymischief 12.00 3.4 7-1
5 4 Missin the Big Dog 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Forest Fire 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Boyd Crowder 12.00 5 9-1
9 7 Megacity 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Trilogy 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Amblin Man 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Red Razzo 1.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Star Player 0.20 1.9 4-1
4 4 Iron Lion 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Spider Jorgensen 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Captain Bober 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Bill’s Mafia 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Proudmiamicitizen 30.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Cloudy Saturday 15.00 5.2 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.