September 30, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Talented Son | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miami Crockett | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fourteen Carrot | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warehouse | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gaucho | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Curry’s Mountain | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sergeant Azer | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Brew Dog | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Start a Fire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | It’s Pazible | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Tu Exageres | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Latin Love Bug | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Roanie | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Cape May Style | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Schliffy | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Thefundsarelow | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Incidentally | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Tew Ways | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Treasury Stock | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Mr. Skittles | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Jimmy Who | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cousin Pete | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Partner’s Power | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brave Deacon | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spare Key | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caecilius | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diagonal | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Asbury Ave | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lt. Columbo | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Paso a La Reina | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heart Beat Away | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | If You Only Knew | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hibernia Diamond | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Point Lockout | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not in the Mood | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Supergirl Power | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Savannah’s Dream | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deep Canyon | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pastiche | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Printer | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vow’s Son | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kenyan | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miami Tiger | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Don Camillo | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Watch Your Words | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Dunk a Din | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rings of Jupiter | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Huascaran | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Howboutdempats | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Yellow Wolf | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Race Me Home (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tactical Pursuit (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Luvinmeiseasy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Terry’s Charm | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sunshine Wild | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Watch My Dust | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | American Roma | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Undeniable Temper | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Nice Surprise | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scherzo | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Incubator | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Chuck | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flowmotion | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | In Equality | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Strong Breeze | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | O’Kram | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backstretch George | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Infuriated | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Fairlee Boys | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devilry | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rucksack | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Jak | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Be Strong | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bonita Bianca | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Mamaluke | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Picnic | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Not Joking | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atina Salsa | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Daddio | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grazen Honor | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Keeping the Peace | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sonic Boom E Jet | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trusting Friend | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Regal Quality | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Potro | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Wisdom | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Asphalt Paving | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ciao Luna | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elnath | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jill Madden | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marnesia Big Girl | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yes Mz Adah | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Shock | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baltimore Beauty | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Running Free | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.