September 29, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 2 | Angel Raphael | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bella G | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9A | 6 | Grace and Peace | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | She’smysunshine | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Light of Hope | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Run Florence Run | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ragazza Carina | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Isabellaalexa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Presto Change O | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | King’s House | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chelios | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imasuperstar | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Algorix | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fifty | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ninetyeightoctane | 2.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Swap | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Rocket | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Tika | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzle Me | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mom I Forgive You | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colloquium | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joycee’s Spirit | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Warbucks | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yellow Chick | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Celtic Vow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Congaree Rose | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baaqeya | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lilia | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond N Simon | 1.20 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Risque Express | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Lilly Factum | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Georgia Bonnet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Flashy Kyem | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | D T Goodie | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | My Pirate | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wild About Deb | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4B | 2 | Get the W | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fast Runner | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5A | 3 | Espresso Caliente | 3.00 | 18.3 | 35-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Fire Sparx | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 2 | El Dulzura | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Snow Forecast | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clever Sarah | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | Tarafirma | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ma de Taw | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Kitten | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Tuffgirlsdontcry | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Offlee Optimistic | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Habibi | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aussie Mist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Its a Journey | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Imperial Lady | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Ali | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J J Loves Billy | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anissa | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Turn | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victoria E | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Spirit Special | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fix Me a Sandwich | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Splicethemainbrace | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Too Much Johnnie | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Strictly the Best | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Intrepid Spirit | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Screen Saver | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | The Right Path | 0.40 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | In the Loop | 0.40 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.