September 28, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Music to My Ears | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justinian | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soldier Boy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Da Kine | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corrana En Limen | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Curry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thin Line | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Creep | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Bagley | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Insider | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palladium | 2.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dieci | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Phast Pharoah | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bamboozler | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knifes Edge | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kanderel | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | One Fast Bro | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liar Liar (IRE) | 3.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Stiff | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Restoring Dreams | 15.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fantasy Game | 6.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Champers | 12.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Scarlet Lips | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donna Veloce | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nora’s Joy | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Le Tub | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucia’s Design | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bristol Bayou | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Eddy Forever | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show Business | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bedrock | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Governance | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goliad | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Best Chance | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fly the Sky | 5.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Hoof Dynamite | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Color War | 12.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | K P All Systems Go | 12.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Handsome Michael | 20.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Navy Queen | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Leia | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sofi’s Gold | 2.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ride Sally Ride | 4.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s a Riddle | 4.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Long Legs | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Homehome | 3.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – John Henry Turf Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | United | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Acclimate | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ritzy A. P. | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Street Fighter | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grecian Fire | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Heartfullofstars | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Comical Ghost | 1.40 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caray | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Emtech | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rogallo | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Value Play | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Candy Cornell | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cruel Intention | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rickey B | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Rodeo Drive S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Excellent Sunset (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elysea’s World (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paved | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mirth | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Awesome Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | McKinzie | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seeking the Soul | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Higher Power | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Draft Pick | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isotherm | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Groom | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Unzip Me S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Hot Legs | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Sell | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stealthediamonds | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Watch Me Burn | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apache Princess | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devils Dance | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Holly Hundy | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Queen of the Track | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fantasy Heat | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Truffles | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Peridot | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mischiffie (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.