September 28, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Arrive in Style | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Zoomer | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Comfortably Cool | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fleet Tweet | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dr Zrada | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fox Z | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Obviously Dramatic | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Salty Caramel | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tap the Mark | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trainfourtwentyone | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Known But to God | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Five More Minutes | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | For the Road | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Syndrome | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Impactful | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air Quality | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Happy Home | 0.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Mistress | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paloma Gris | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winning Tough | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Geewhatsinurwallet | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ez On the Eyes | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patty’s Temple | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Megalomania | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mad Mary | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancingthehnydaway | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Free Coffee | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alphardini | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Discreet Cathy | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Claire Bear | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Little Neck | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blue Eyed Crystal | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boca Royalty | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Soul P Say | 1.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruble | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Return of a Giant | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sunshine Mark | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2X | 10 | No More Strippers | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Butch Cassidy | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Lunar Rover | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ask Chuck | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Collin’s Smile | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freudian Fall | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu High | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zartax | 30.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Sea Swap | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Two Weeks Off | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Window Table | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tactical Plan | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slot | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quality Asset | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Try Flying | 1.40 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | True Blue | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Refuseing | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Run for James | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Folk Magic | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Special | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hell of Afire | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Excess | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chorite | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wowwhatabrat | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Rembrandt | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Miss Avalon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Jemrose | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Hail to Leader | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Shine | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tide Storm | 2.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | O’Paddy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Deserted | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Madame Barbarian | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ordinary Love | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Mineshaft Madness | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gator Girl | 3.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mini Hero | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Norma’s Charm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Empress of Fortune | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Trailblazer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.