September 28, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Strike Me Down | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cannon’s Roar | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Good Year | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Brothersledge | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | National Honor | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tom Hagen | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Old Dominion | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Storm Team | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Brahms | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crouchelli | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Uhwarrie Sky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arrifana | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conjecture | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Rally | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Discreet Sister | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shamrock Babe | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Virginia | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marvelous Martina | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vivalda (PER) | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Princesschope (FR) | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rockstar Girl | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fionnbharr | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | River Gal | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lacustre (GB) | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jabuticaba | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Periodical | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Beale Street | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mahkato | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unbridled Escape | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reina La Kelsy | 50.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ordinary Love | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Retro Street | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Challedon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tiz He the One | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wonderful Light | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Taco Supream | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Knights Key | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Robin Hood | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Confessor | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twin Valor | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ballivor | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tappin Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | American Power | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Anne Arundel County S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bella Aurora | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss J McKay | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | More Or Less | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Carrigan | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Double Down Dare | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Shades | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giggling | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Always Something | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Kiss | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Shine Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Our Super Freak | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saguaro Row | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Inspeightof | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Munificent | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Love | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormologist | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scatrattleandroll | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steamy Hot | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Untaken | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’ll Take the Cake | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Japan Turf Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | English Minister | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surprise Twist | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highland Sky | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nakamura | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | O Dionysus | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zapperini | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zero Gravity | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Postulation | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lemon Zip | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Matters | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Accountable | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Westerland (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fasig-tipton All Along S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frippery | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Sistersledge | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lift Up | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghoul’s Night Out | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Notapradaprice | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Go Noni Go | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colonia (FR) | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Na Pali Spirit | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Madame X. | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dark Artist | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Santino | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Not in Jeopardy | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Theodora B. | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Goiaba | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mighty Electrica | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Chesa Charm | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rein Supreme | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pinkout | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Feelin Foxie | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Truly Hot | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yesterdaysplan | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | No More Excuses | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dat Dares Gold | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Louise | 20.00 | 15.7 | 30-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Girl Drama | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Home Dixie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Howard County S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Rose | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On the Turf | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muchmorethanthis | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | So Street | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guilty | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreaming of Love | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Me and Mr. C | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pass a Mento | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marie From Parie | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Jelly Roll | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Castle Ridge | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Creedibility | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Close the Deal | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barbsgray Lion | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Determined Mission | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gracely | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Story | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Accumulate | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Fluidity | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Enyo | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thrill of Giants | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bubala | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Cane Cat | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.